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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Elo1497

Lauren MurphyvsKatlyn ChookagianUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · Wednesday, July 13, 2016Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Lauren Murphy wins(57.8%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lauren Murphy at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Lauren Murphy
Red Corner
VS
Katlyn Chookagian
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
1493
Elo
1497
43
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lauren MurphyL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21
L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 21
W
vs Miesha Tate · Jul 22
L
vs Jessica Andrade · Jan 23
L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25
latest
Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lauren MurphyMetricKatlyn Chookagian
3.94
Strikes / min
—
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
1.09
TDs / 15 min
—
67%
Takedown defense
—
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1500Strikes63.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.2 vs 0.0
Lauren MurphyKatlyn Chookagian

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Lauren Murphy(10 fights)Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -4.5|Blue +4.5
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Lauren Murphy

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12