Welterweight

3 Rounds

Laureano Staropoli won · U-DEC R3

Elo1410

Elo1377

Laureano StaropolivsHector AldanaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Saturday, November 17, 2018Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Official fight result

Laureano Staropoli won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Hector Aldana wins(56.8%)

Actual result: Laureano Staropoli wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hector Aldana at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Laureano Staropoli enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Laureano Staropoli has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Laureano Staropoli

Red Corner

Hector Aldana

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1410

Elo

1377

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Laureano StaropoliL4 streak

oldest →

vs Thiago Alves · May 19

vs Muslim Salikhov · Oct 19

DECvs Tim Means · Aug 20

vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 21

vs Jamie Pickett · Oct 21

latest

Hector AldanaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Song Kenan · Jun 18

KOvs Miguel Baeza · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Laureano StaropoliMetricHector Aldana

3.31

Strikes / min

3.59

3.73

Strikes absorbed / min

5.08

54%

Strike defense

59%

0.83

TDs / 15 min

0.93

48%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.42Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Laureano StaropoliHector Aldana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Laureano Staropoli(6 fights)Hector Aldana(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.8|Blue -32.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Laureano StaropoliTargetHector Aldana

By target zone

30% acc · 73%

Head

33% acc · 65%

52% acc · 15%

Body

58% acc · 10%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

77% acc · 25%

By position

35% acc · 97%

Distance

40% acc · 91%

60% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Laureano Staropoli rounds

even

Hector Aldana rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Round 3Laureano Staropoli edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

97 / 275

Sig Strikes

69 / 170

34.7%

Sig Str %

38.7%

99 / 277

Total Strikes

72 / 173

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Hector Aldana	33 / 72	33 / 72	0 / 0
1	Laureano Staropoli	32 / 86	32 / 86	0 / 0
2	Hector Aldana	23 / 55	26 / 58	0 / 0
2	Laureano Staropoli	25 / 81	27 / 83	0 / 0
3	Hector Aldana	13 / 43	13 / 43	0 / 0
3	Laureano Staropoli	40 / 108	40 / 108	0 / 0

Laureano Staropoli

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Hector Aldana

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3