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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Lando Vannata won · U-DEC R3

Elo1478

Elo1403

Lando VannatavsYancy MedeirosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · Saturday, February 15, 2020Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA

Official fight result

Lando Vannata won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLando Vannata: Pressure fightervsYancy Medeiros: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Yancy Medeiros wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Lando Vannata wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yancy Medeiros at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Yancy Medeiros enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Yancy Medeiros has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Lando Vannata

Red Corner

Yancy Medeiros

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1478

Elo

1403

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lando VannataL3 streak

oldest →

vs Bobby Green · Aug 20

vs Mike Grundy · May 21

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 22

vs Daniel Zellhuber · Apr 23

KOvs Darrius Flowers · Apr 26

latest

Yancy MedeirosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Erick Silva · Jun 17

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18

KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19

vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lando VannataMetricYancy Medeiros

4.52

Strikes / min

4.36

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

5.67

54%

Strike defense

47%

1.24

TDs / 15 min

0.33

66%

Takedown defense

73%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.19Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lando VannataYancy Medeiros

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lando Vannata(10 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +74.7|Blue -74.7

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -252.0|Blue +252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lando VannataTargetYancy Medeiros

By target zone

34% acc · 36%

Head

26% acc · 62%

76% acc · 29%

Body

82% acc · 21%

79% acc · 34%

Leg

92% acc · 18%

By position

53% acc · 99%

Distance

35% acc · 97%

33% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lando Vannata rounds

even

Yancy Medeiros rounds

Round 1Lando Vannata edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Lando Vannata edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:04

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Lando Vannata edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

99 / 188

Sig Strikes

68 / 193

52.7%

Sig Str %

36.3%

100 / 189

Total Strikes

68 / 193

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yancy Medeiros	23 / 51	23 / 51	0 / 0
1	Lando Vannata	29 / 51	29 / 51	0 / 0
2	Yancy Medeiros	21 / 58	21 / 58	0 / 1
2	Lando Vannata	34 / 65	35 / 66	0 / 2
3	Yancy Medeiros	24 / 84	24 / 84	0 / 0
3	Lando Vannata	36 / 72	36 / 72	0 / 1

Lando Vannata

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Yancy Medeiros

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14