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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Drakkar Klose won · U-DEC R3
Elo1478
Lando Vannata
Elo1513

Lando VannatavsDrakkar KloseUFC Prediction Result

UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Saturday, July 7, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Drakkar Klose won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLando Vannata: Pressure fightervsDrakkar Klose: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Lando Vannata wins(52.8%)

Actual result: Drakkar Klose wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lando Vannata at -200 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Lando Vannata
Red Corner
VS
Drakkar Klose
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1478
Elo
1513
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lando VannataL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Bobby Green · Aug 20
W
vs Mike Grundy · May 21
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 22
L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Apr 23
L
KOvs Darrius Flowers · Apr 26
latest
Drakkar Klose
oldest →
W
vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 22
W
KOvs Joe Solecki · Dec 23
W
vs Joaquim Silva · May 24
L
KOvs Joel Alvarez · Dec 24
W
vs Edson Barboza · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lando VannataMetricDrakkar Klose
4.52
Strikes / min
4.25
4.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
54%
Strike defense
49%
1.24
TDs / 15 min
1.49
66%
Takedown defense
69%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1493 vs 1502Strikes57.5 vs 53.5Takedowns1.3 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs -0.4
Lando VannataDrakkar Klose

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601478149515131530← oldermost recent →
Lando Vannata(10 fights)Drakkar Klose(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -35.9|Blue +35.9
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +273.0|Blue -273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lando VannataTargetDrakkar Klose

By target zone

18
23% acc · 36%
Head
29
43% acc · 53%
15
50% acc · 30%
Body
9
90% acc · 16%
17
74% acc · 34%
Leg
17
85% acc · 31%

By position

37
32% acc · 74%
Distance
36
47% acc · 65%
13
68% acc · 26%
Clinch
19
90% acc · 35%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Lando Vannata rounds
0
even
3
Drakkar Klose rounds
Round 1Drakkar Klose edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:38
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 2Drakkar Klose edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 3Drakkar Klose edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:22
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
50 / 133
Sig Strikes
55 / 98
37.7%
Sig Str %
57.3%
66 / 150
Total Strikes
73 / 118
1 / 4
TDs
1 / 4
33.3%
TD %
16.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:00
Ctrl Time
3:18

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Drakkar Klose21 / 2928 / 370 / 10
1Lando Vannata19 / 4920 / 500 / 20
2Drakkar Klose18 / 4019 / 410 / 00
2Lando Vannata15 / 4916 / 500 / 10
3Drakkar Klose16 / 2926 / 401 / 30
3Lando Vannata16 / 3530 / 501 / 10

Lando Vannata

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12

Drakkar Klose

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12