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Lightweight

3 Rounds

David Teymur won · U-DEC R3

Elo1478

Elo1491

Lando VannatavsDavid TeymurUFC Prediction Result

UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · Saturday, March 4, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

David Teymur won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLando Vannata: Pressure fightervsDavid Teymur: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: David Teymur wins(71.3%)

Actual result: David Teymur wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

David Teymur at +300 American odds

+$300 profit

$400 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors David Teymur (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Lando Vannata

Red Corner

David Teymur

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1478

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lando VannataL3 streak

oldest →

vs Bobby Green · Aug 20

vs Mike Grundy · May 21

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 22

vs Daniel Zellhuber · Apr 23

KOvs Darrius Flowers · Apr 26

latest

David Teymur

oldest →

KOvs Martin Svensson · Feb 16

KOvs Jason Novelli · Aug 16

vs Drakkar Klose · Dec 17

vs Nik Lentz · Jun 18

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lando VannataMetricDavid Teymur

4.52

Strikes / min

4.69

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

3.53

54%

Strike defense

55%

1.24

TDs / 15 min

0.94

66%

Takedown defense

77%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.19Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lando VannataDavid Teymur

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lando Vannata(10 fights)David Teymur(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.9|Blue +13.9

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lando VannataTargetDavid Teymur

By target zone

40% acc · 47%

Head

35% acc · 51%

63% acc · 20%

Body

62% acc · 23%

89% acc · 33%

Leg

85% acc · 26%

By position

53% acc · 88%

Distance

44% acc · 81%

64% acc · 12%

Clinch

63% acc · 19%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lando Vannata rounds

even

David Teymur rounds

Round 1David Teymur edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:05

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2David Teymur edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3David Teymur edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:02

34Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

76 / 141

Sig Strikes

90 / 192

53%

Sig Str %

46.7%

79 / 144

Total Strikes

95 / 197

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 7

100%

TD %

58%

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

0:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	David Teymur	28 / 69	28 / 69	0 / 0
1	Lando Vannata	21 / 47	21 / 47	1 / 1
2	David Teymur	28 / 58	31 / 61	1 / 1
2	Lando Vannata	22 / 41	23 / 42	0 / 0
3	David Teymur	34 / 65	36 / 67	1 / 6
3	Lando Vannata	33 / 53	35 / 55	0 / 0

Lando Vannata

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

David Teymur

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6