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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Zellhuber won · U-DEC R3

Elo1478

Elo1476

Lando VannatavsDaniel ZellhuberUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · Saturday, April 15, 2023Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Zellhuber won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLando Vannata: Pressure fightervsDaniel Zellhuber: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Daniel Zellhuber wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Daniel Zellhuber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Zellhuber at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Daniel Zellhuber has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Zellhuber (52.9%).
Daniel Zellhuber has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Lando Vannata

Red Corner

Daniel Zellhuber

Blue Corner

+108

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1478

Elo

1476

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

6'1"

180.34 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lando VannataL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yancy Medeiros · Feb 20

vs Bobby Green · Aug 20

vs Mike Grundy · May 21

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 22

KOvs Darrius Flowers · Apr 26

latest

Daniel ZellhuberL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Christos Giagos · Sep 23

vs Francisco Prado · Feb 24

vs Esteban Ribovics · Sep 24

vs Michael Johnson · Jul 25

KOvs King Green · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lando VannataMetricDaniel Zellhuber

4.52

Strikes / min

5.45

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

6.17

54%

Strike defense

54%

1.24

TDs / 15 min

0.14

66%

Takedown defense

81%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lando VannataDaniel Zellhuber

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lando Vannata(10 fights)Daniel Zellhuber(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lando VannataTargetDaniel Zellhuber

By target zone

49% acc · 39%

Head

37% acc · 86%

50% acc · 24%

Body

33% acc · 9%

73% acc · 37%

Leg

80% acc · 5%

By position

56% acc · 96%

Distance

33% acc · 63%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

0% acc

Ground

43% acc · 28%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lando Vannata rounds

even

Daniel Zellhuber rounds

Round 1Daniel Zellhuber edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:30Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:06

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Daniel Zellhuber edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 91

Sig Strikes

78 / 207

57%

Sig Str %

36.3%

51 / 91

Total Strikes

84 / 225

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

1:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Daniel Zellhuber	40 / 91	45 / 108	0 / 0
1	Lando Vannata	17 / 23	17 / 23	0 / 0
2	Daniel Zellhuber	22 / 55	22 / 55	0 / 0
2	Lando Vannata	22 / 36	22 / 36	0 / 2
3	Daniel Zellhuber	16 / 61	17 / 62	0 / 1
3	Lando Vannata	12 / 32	12 / 32	0 / 1

Lando Vannata

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Daniel Zellhuber

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7