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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Charles Jourdain won · SUB R1

Elo1478

Elo1529

Lando VannatavsCharles JourdainUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Saturday, April 23, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Charles Jourdain won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:32

Style matchupLando Vannata: Pressure fightervsCharles Jourdain: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Charles Jourdain wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Charles Jourdain wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Charles Jourdain at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lando Vannata has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Charles Jourdain (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Lando Vannata

Red Corner

Charles Jourdain

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1478

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lando VannataL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yancy Medeiros · Feb 20

vs Bobby Green · Aug 20

vs Mike Grundy · May 21

vs Daniel Zellhuber · Apr 23

KOvs Darrius Flowers · Apr 26

latest

Charles JourdainW3 streak

oldest →

vs Sean Woodson · Jan 24

KOvs Jean Silva · Jun 24

SUBvs Victor Henry · Nov 24

SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 25

DECvs Kyler Phillips · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lando VannataMetricCharles Jourdain

4.52

Strikes / min

5.36

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

4.11

54%

Strike defense

56%

1.24

TDs / 15 min

0.38

66%

Takedown defense

46%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.19Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap+1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lando VannataCharles Jourdain

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lando Vannata(10 fights)Charles Jourdain(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -51.8|Blue +51.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +217.0|Blue -217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lando VannataTargetCharles Jourdain

By target zone

50% acc · 63%

Head

50% acc · 50%

75% acc · 38%

Body

67% acc · 50%

Leg

By position

54% acc · 88%

Distance

50% acc · 75%

Clinch

100% acc · 25%

100% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lando Vannata rounds

even

Charles Jourdain rounds

Round 1Lando Vannata edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control0:57

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 14

Sig Strikes

4 / 7

57%

Sig Str %

57%

8 / 14

Total Strikes

5 / 8

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:57

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Charles Jourdain	4 / 7	5 / 8	0 / 0	1
1	Lando Vannata	8 / 14	8 / 14	1 / 1	0

Lando Vannata

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Charles Jourdain

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights15