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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Bobby Green won · U-DEC R3
Elo1478
Lando Vannata
Elo1445

Lando VannatavsBobby GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Saturday, August 1, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bobby Green won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Bobby Green wins(66.3%)

Actual result: Bobby Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bobby Green at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Lando Vannata
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Green
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1478
Elo
1445
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lando VannataL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Yancy Medeiros · Feb 20
W
vs Mike Grundy · May 21
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 22
L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Apr 23
L
KOvs Darrius Flowers · Apr 26
latest
Bobby GreenL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21
W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21
W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22
L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lando VannataMetricBobby Green
4.52
Strikes / min
—
4.71
Strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
Strike defense
—
1.24
TDs / 15 min
—
66%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1525Strikes4.7 vs 5.0Takedowns1.1 vs 1.2Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.40Form0.2 vs 0.2
Lando VannataBobby Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Lando Vannata(10 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +32.2|Blue -32.2
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Lando Vannata

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9