Skip to content
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Kyung Ho Kang won · SUB R3
Elo1497
Kyung Ho Kang
Elo1490

Kyung Ho KangvsShunichi ShimizuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · Saturday, January 4, 2014Singapore, Singapore

Official fight result

Kyung Ho Kang won

SUB · Round 3 · 3:53

Model Prediction: Kyung Ho Kang wins(73.7%)

Actual result: Kyung Ho Kang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyung Ho Kang at -325 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kyung Ho Kang has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Kyung Ho Kang has 68pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Kyung Ho Kang has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kyung Ho Kang
Red Corner
VS
Shunichi Shimizu
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
1497
Elo
1490
38
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
185.42 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyung Ho KangL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rani Yahya · Nov 21
W
vs Batgerel Danaa · Jun 22
W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Jun 23
L
vs John Castaneda · Nov 23
L
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 24
latest
Shunichi ShimizuNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyung Ho KangMetricShunichi Shimizu
3.13
Strikes / min
0.14
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
4.68
54%
Strike defense
30%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
0.00
68%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19Δ 4.35 — meaningful gap-4.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1500Strikes17.0 vs Takedowns4.0 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Kyung Ho KangShunichi Shimizu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Kyung Ho Kang(10 fights)Shunichi Shimizu(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +6.6|Blue -6.6
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyung Ho KangTargetShunichi Shimizu

By target zone

59
69% acc · 91%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 2%
Body
0
0% acc
5
71% acc · 8%
Leg
2
67% acc · 100%

By position

7
32% acc · 11%
Distance
2
33% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
57
80% acc · 88%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Kyung Ho Kang rounds
0
even
0
Shunichi Shimizu rounds
Round 1Kyung Ho Kang edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:19
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:02Control
Round 2Kyung Ho Kang edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control3:41
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 3Kyung Ho Kang edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control3:14
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
65 / 94
Sig Strikes
2 / 6
67.7%
Sig Str %
27.7%
144 / 175
Total Strikes
5 / 15
2 / 2
TDs
0 / 6
100%
TD %
0%
4
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
1
8:14
Ctrl Time
1:48

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Shunichi Shimizu1 / 31 / 30 / 30
1Kyung Ho Kang14 / 2125 / 321 / 13
2Shunichi Shimizu1 / 24 / 110 / 20
2Kyung Ho Kang19 / 3358 / 720 / 00
3Shunichi Shimizu0 / 10 / 10 / 10
3Kyung Ho Kang32 / 4061 / 711 / 11

Kyung Ho Kang

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Shunichi Shimizu

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach
Fights1