Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Muin Gafurov won · U-DEC R3
Elo1497
Kyung Ho Kang
Elo1489
Muin Gafurov

Kyung Ho KangvsMuin GafurovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Saturday, June 22, 2024Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Official fight result

Muin Gafurov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyung Ho Kang: Well-roundedvsMuin Gafurov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Muin Gafurov wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Muin Gafurov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Muin Gafurov at -195 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kyung Ho Kang threatens submissions; Muin Gafurov has lost 67% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Muin Gafurov (53.5%).
  • Kyung Ho Kang has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kyung Ho Kang
Red Corner
VS
Muin Gafurov
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-195
(66%)
1497
Elo
1489
38
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyung Ho Kang
oldest →
W
vs Liu Pingyuan · Dec 19
L
vs Rani Yahya · Nov 21
W
vs Batgerel Danaa · Jun 22
W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Jun 23
L
vs John Castaneda · Nov 23
latest
Muin Gafurov
oldest →
L
vs John Castaneda · Jun 23
L
SUBvs Said Nurmagomedov · Oct 23
W
vs Rinya Nakamura · Jan 25
L
SUBvs Jakub Wiklacz · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyung Ho KangMetricMuin Gafurov
3.13
Strikes / min
3.36
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
54%
Strike defense
55%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
1.57
68%
Takedown defense
70%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1554 vs 1472Strikes3.1 vs 3.0Takedowns2.0 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Kyung Ho KangMuin Gafurov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Kyung Ho Kang(10 fights)Muin Gafurov(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +8.3|Blue -8.3
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyung Ho KangTargetMuin Gafurov

By target zone

8
29% acc · 67%
Head
27
60% acc · 57%
2
50% acc · 17%
Body
10
71% acc · 21%
2
67% acc · 17%
Leg
10
83% acc · 21%

By position

11
33% acc · 92%
Distance
25
53% acc · 53%
0
0% acc
Clinch
6
100% acc · 13%
1
100% acc · 8%
Ground
16
89% acc · 34%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Kyung Ho Kang rounds
0
even
3
Muin Gafurov rounds
Round 1Muin Gafurov edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:39
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 2Muin Gafurov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:54
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 3Muin Gafurov edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns2
Control2:23
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
12 / 35
Sig Strikes
47 / 71
27.7%
Sig Str %
65%
119 / 152
Total Strikes
110 / 144
3 / 11
TDs
1 / 3
27.7%
TD %
25%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
4:56
Ctrl Time
6:38

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Muin Gafurov15 / 2144 / 530 / 00
1Kyung Ho Kang3 / 1143 / 520 / 40
2Muin Gafurov22 / 3340 / 551 / 20
2Kyung Ho Kang9 / 1640 / 491 / 30
3Muin Gafurov10 / 1726 / 360 / 10
3Kyung Ho Kang0 / 836 / 512 / 40

Kyung Ho Kang

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Muin Gafurov

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5