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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Kyung Ho Kang won · SUB R1
Elo1497
Kyung Ho Kang
Elo1497

Kyung Ho KangvsGuido CannettiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Sunday, January 14, 2018St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Kyung Ho Kang won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:53

Style matchupKyung Ho Kang: Well-roundedvsGuido Cannetti: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Guido Cannetti wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Kyung Ho Kang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Guido Cannetti at +245 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kyung Ho Kang threatens submissions; Guido Cannetti has lost 67% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Guido Cannetti (53.5%).
  • Kyung Ho Kang has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kyung Ho Kang
Red Corner
VS
Guido Cannetti
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1497
Elo
1497
38
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyung Ho KangL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rani Yahya · Nov 21
W
vs Batgerel Danaa · Jun 22
W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Jun 23
L
vs John Castaneda · Nov 23
L
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 24
latest
Guido Cannetti
oldest →
L
KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20
L
vs Mana Martinez · Aug 21
W
KOvs Kris Moutinho · Mar 22
W
SUBvs Randy Costa · Oct 22
L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyung Ho KangMetricGuido Cannetti
3.13
Strikes / min
3.44
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.84
54%
Strike defense
51%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
2.27
68%
Takedown defense
64%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1501Strikes30.0 vs 33.5Takedowns2.5 vs 2.5Sub Atts1.50 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs 0.3
Kyung Ho KangGuido Cannetti

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Kyung Ho Kang(10 fights)Guido Cannetti(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +315.0|Blue -315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyung Ho KangTargetGuido Cannetti

By target zone

3
33% acc · 100%
Head
12
41% acc · 63%
0
0% acc
Body
4
57% acc · 21%
0
Leg
3
100% acc · 16%

By position

1
13% acc · 33%
Distance
9
31% acc · 47%
1
100% acc · 33%
Clinch
5
100% acc · 26%
1
50% acc · 33%
Ground
5
100% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Kyung Ho Kang rounds
0
even
1
Guido Cannetti rounds
Round 1Guido Cannetti edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:38
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:26Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 11
Sig Strikes
19 / 39
27%
Sig Str %
48%
28 / 36
Total Strikes
22 / 42
1 / 2
TDs
1 / 2
50%
TD %
50%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:38
Ctrl Time
1:26

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Guido Cannetti19 / 3922 / 421 / 20
1Kyung Ho Kang3 / 1128 / 361 / 21

Kyung Ho Kang

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Guido Cannetti

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10