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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Kyung Ho Kang won · SUB R1
Elo1497
Kyung Ho Kang
Elo1511
Cristian Quinonez

Kyung Ho KangvsCristian QuinonezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Saturday, June 17, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kyung Ho Kang won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:25

Style matchupKyung Ho Kang: Well-roundedvsCristian Quinonez: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cristian Quinonez wins(63.3%)

Actual result: Kyung Ho Kang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cristian Quinonez at -144 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kyung Ho Kang threatens submissions; Cristian Quinonez has lost 100% of fights by sub.
  • Cristian Quinonez has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kyung Ho Kang
Red Corner
VS
Cristian Quinonez
Blue Corner
+122
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-144
(59%)
1497
Elo
1511
38
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyung Ho KangL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Liu Pingyuan · Dec 19
L
vs Rani Yahya · Nov 21
W
vs Batgerel Danaa · Jun 22
L
vs John Castaneda · Nov 23
L
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 24
latest
Cristian Quinonez
oldest →
W
KOvs Khalid Taha · Sep 22
L
SUBvs Raoni Barcelos · Feb 24
W
vs Kris Moutinho · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyung Ho KangMetricCristian Quinonez
3.13
Strikes / min
3.67
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
54%
Strike defense
56%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
3.14
68%
Takedown defense
85%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1559 vs 1515Strikes3.1 vs 4.2Takedowns2.0 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 1.0
Kyung Ho KangCristian Quinonez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Kyung Ho Kang(10 fights)Cristian Quinonez(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -13.8|Blue +13.8
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyung Ho KangTargetCristian Quinonez

By target zone

14
50% acc · 64%
Head
11
41% acc · 85%
3
75% acc · 14%
Body
0
5
100% acc · 23%
Leg
2
100% acc · 15%

By position

17
55% acc · 77%
Distance
13
45% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
5
83% acc · 23%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kyung Ho Kang rounds
0
even
0
Cristian Quinonez rounds
Round 1Kyung Ho Kang edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:40
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
22 / 37
Sig Strikes
13 / 29
59%
Sig Str %
44%
31 / 46
Total Strikes
13 / 29
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:40
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cristian Quinonez13 / 2913 / 290 / 00
1Kyung Ho Kang22 / 3731 / 461 / 11

Kyung Ho Kang

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Cristian Quinonez

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4