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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kyoji Horiguchi won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1514
Elo1490
Jon Delos Reyes

Kyoji HoriguchivsJon Delos ReyesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Saturday, September 20, 2014Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Kyoji Horiguchi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:48

Style matchupKyoji Horiguchi: Elusive strikervsJon Delos Reyes: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Kyoji Horiguchi wins(76.3%)

Actual result: Kyoji Horiguchi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyoji Horiguchi at -660 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jon Delos Reyes threatens submissions; Kyoji Horiguchi has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Kyoji Horiguchi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jon Delos Reyes has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kyoji Horiguchi
Red Corner
VS
Jon Delos Reyes
Blue Corner
-660
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+540
(16%)
1514
Elo
1490
35
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
160.02 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyoji Horiguchi
oldest →
W
vs Neil Seery · May 16
W
vs Ali Bagautinov · Nov 16
W
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 25
W
vs Amir Albazi · Feb 26
L
KOvs Manel Kape · Jun 26
latest
Jon Delos Reyes
oldest →
L
SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Jan 14
W
SUBvs Roldan Sangcha-an · May 15
L
SUBvs Neil Seery · Oct 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyoji HoriguchiMetricJon Delos Reyes
3.77
Strikes / min
2.99
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
4.14
63%
Strike defense
51%
1.61
TDs / 15 min
3.20
61%
Takedown defense
55%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.64Δ 2.79 — meaningful gap-1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1529 vs 1484Strikes47.5 vs 9.0Takedowns1.5 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -1.0
Kyoji HoriguchiJon Delos Reyes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901505152015351550← oldermost recent →
Kyoji Horiguchi(10 fights)Jon Delos Reyes(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +23.9|Blue -23.9
Recent Form
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyoji HoriguchiTargetJon Delos Reyes

By target zone

22
65% acc · 71%
Head
4
25% acc · 31%
9
100% acc · 29%
Body
4
100% acc · 31%
0
Leg
5
100% acc · 38%

By position

11
73% acc · 35%
Distance
6
38% acc · 46%
11
65% acc · 35%
Clinch
7
78% acc · 54%
9
82% acc · 29%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kyoji Horiguchi rounds
0
even
0
Jon Delos Reyes rounds
Round 1Kyoji Horiguchi edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control2:16
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
31 / 43
Sig Strikes
13 / 25
72%
Sig Str %
52%
49 / 62
Total Strikes
18 / 30
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:16
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jon Delos Reyes13 / 2518 / 300 / 00
1Kyoji Horiguchi31 / 4349 / 620 / 00

Kyoji Horiguchi

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights11

Jon Delos Reyes

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4