Flyweight

3 Rounds

Kyoji Horiguchi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1514

Elo1355

Kyoji HoriguchivsChico CamusUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · Saturday, September 26, 2015Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Kyoji Horiguchi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyoji Horiguchi: Elusive strikervsChico Camus: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Kyoji Horiguchi wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Kyoji Horiguchi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyoji Horiguchi at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Kyoji Horiguchi

Red Corner

Chico Camus

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+335

(23%)

1514

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

160.02 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyoji Horiguchi

oldest →

vs Neil Seery · May 16

vs Ali Bagautinov · Nov 16

SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 25

vs Amir Albazi · Feb 26

KOvs Manel Kape · Jun 26

latest

Chico Camus

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Feb 13

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 13

vs Chris Holdsworth · May 14

vs Brad Pickett · Nov 14

vs Henry Cejudo · Jun 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyoji HoriguchiMetricChico Camus

3.77

Strikes / min

2.58

2.13

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

63%

Strike defense

64%

1.61

TDs / 15 min

0.77

61%

Takedown defense

72%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.64Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyoji HoriguchiChico Camus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyoji Horiguchi(10 fights)Chico Camus(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +159.0|Blue -159.0

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyoji HoriguchiTargetChico Camus

By target zone

30% acc · 76%

Head

30% acc · 84%

65% acc · 22%

Body

57% acc · 13%

67% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

34% acc · 95%

Distance

32% acc · 92%

80% acc · 5%

Clinch

71% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyoji Horiguchi rounds

even

Chico Camus rounds

Round 1Kyoji Horiguchi edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 2Kyoji Horiguchi edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:03

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Chico Camus edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:17

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

78 / 224

Sig Strikes

63 / 191

34.7%

Sig Str %

30.7%

80 / 226

Total Strikes

66 / 196

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:20

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chico Camus	12 / 41	14 / 45	0 / 0
1	Kyoji Horiguchi	27 / 60	29 / 62	0 / 2
2	Chico Camus	14 / 54	14 / 54	0 / 0
2	Kyoji Horiguchi	34 / 98	34 / 98	0 / 2
3	Chico Camus	37 / 96	38 / 97	0 / 3
3	Kyoji Horiguchi	17 / 66	17 / 66	0 / 1

Kyoji Horiguchi

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights11

Chico Camus

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7