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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Vinicius Oliveira won · U-DEC R3

Elo1476

Elo1538

Kyler PhillipsvsVinicius OliveiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Saturday, July 19, 2025New Orleans, Louisiana, USA

Official fight result

Vinicius Oliveira won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyler Phillips: WrestlervsVinicius Oliveira: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira wins(71.8%)

Actual result: Vinicius Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Vinicius Oliveira (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Kyler Phillips

Red Corner

Vinicius Oliveira

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1476

Elo

1538

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyler PhillipsL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marcelo Rojo · Feb 22

vs Raoni Barcelos · Aug 23

vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 24

vs Rob Font · Oct 24

DECvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 26

latest

Vinicius Oliveira

oldest →

KOvs Benardo Sopaj · Mar 24

vs Ricky Simon · Jun 24

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Feb 25

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Feb 26

KOvs Andre Fili · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyler PhillipsMetricVinicius Oliveira

4.75

Strikes / min

4.73

3.83

Strikes absorbed / min

2.70

58%

Strike defense

57%

2.82

TDs / 15 min

1.45

75%

Takedown defense

70%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.92Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+2.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyler PhillipsVinicius Oliveira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyler Phillips(10 fights)Vinicius Oliveira(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -62.5|Blue +62.5

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyler PhillipsTargetVinicius Oliveira

By target zone

26% acc · 67%

Head

32% acc · 54%

59% acc · 27%

Body

52% acc · 27%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

86% acc · 19%

By position

32% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 82%

Clinch

71% acc · 5%

Ground

67% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyler Phillips rounds

even

Vinicius Oliveira rounds

Round 1Kyler Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Vinicius Oliveira edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns0

41Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:17Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Vinicius Oliveira edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 151

Sig Strikes

96 / 232

28.3%

Sig Str %

40.3%

54 / 156

Total Strikes

102 / 238

0 / 5

TDs

1 / 4

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

2:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Vinicius Oliveira	22 / 69	22 / 69	0 / 1
1	Kyler Phillips	29 / 67	29 / 67	0 / 1
2	Vinicius Oliveira	41 / 81	47 / 87	1 / 2
2	Kyler Phillips	4 / 26	9 / 31	0 / 3
3	Vinicius Oliveira	33 / 82	33 / 82	0 / 1
3	Kyler Phillips	16 / 58	16 / 58	0 / 1

Kyler Phillips

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9

Vinicius Oliveira

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7