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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Kyler Phillips won · U-DEC R3

Elo1476

Elo1550

Kyler PhillipsvsRaoni BarcelosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · Saturday, August 5, 2023Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Kyler Phillips won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyler Phillips: WrestlervsRaoni Barcelos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Kyler Phillips wins(74.8%)

Actual result: Kyler Phillips wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyler Phillips at -218 American odds

+$46 profit

$146 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Kyler Phillips has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kyler Phillips

Red Corner

Raoni Barcelos

Blue Corner

-218

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1476

Elo

1550

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyler PhillipsL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marcelo Rojo · Feb 22

vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 24

vs Rob Font · Oct 24

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jul 25

DECvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 26

latest

Raoni BarcelosW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24

vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25

vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25

vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25

DECvs Montel Jackson · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyler PhillipsMetricRaoni Barcelos

4.75

Strikes / min

4.65

3.83

Strikes absorbed / min

4.24

58%

Strike defense

60%

2.82

TDs / 15 min

2.51

75%

Takedown defense

87%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.92evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyler PhillipsRaoni Barcelos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyler Phillips(10 fights)Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -74.2|Blue +74.2

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +336.0|Blue -336.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyler PhillipsTargetRaoni Barcelos

By target zone

27% acc · 56%

Head

23% acc · 43%

69% acc · 25%

Body

88% acc · 33%

93% acc · 19%

Leg

92% acc · 24%

By position

36% acc · 86%

Distance

37% acc · 85%

75% acc · 8%

Clinch

70% acc · 15%

80% acc · 6%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyler Phillips rounds

even

Raoni Barcelos rounds

Round 1Kyler Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:11

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:30Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Kyler Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:36

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:54Control

Round 3Raoni Barcelos edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 187

Sig Strikes

46 / 116

37.7%

Sig Str %

38.7%

80 / 196

Total Strikes

52 / 124

1 / 4

TDs

3 / 11

33.3%

TD %

28.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:47

Ctrl Time

1:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Raoni Barcelos	18 / 45	20 / 48	1 / 3
1	Kyler Phillips	30 / 68	31 / 69	0 / 2
2	Raoni Barcelos	9 / 27	11 / 30	1 / 5
2	Kyler Phillips	22 / 58	29 / 66	1 / 1
3	Raoni Barcelos	19 / 44	21 / 46	1 / 3
3	Kyler Phillips	20 / 61	20 / 61	0 / 1

Kyler Phillips

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9

Raoni Barcelos

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15