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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Kyle Noke won · SUB R2

Elo1359

Elo1351

Kyle NokevsRob KimmonsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · Saturday, November 13, 2010Oberhausen, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany

Official fight result

Kyle Noke won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:33

Style matchupKyle Noke: Well-roundedvsRob Kimmons: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kyle Noke wins(53.6%)

Actual result: Kyle Noke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyle Noke at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kyle Noke is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rob Kimmons has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Kyle Noke has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Kyle Noke has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Noke (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Noke

Red Corner

Rob Kimmons

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1359

Elo

1351

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyle NokeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jonavin Webb · May 15

KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15

vs Alex Morono · Jan 16

SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16

vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16

latest

Rob Kimmons

oldest →

vs Steve Steinbeiss · Aug 10

KOvs Dongi Yang · Mar 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyle NokeMetricRob Kimmons

3.23

Strikes / min

1.86

2.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.79

64%

Strike defense

38%

1.53

TDs / 15 min

2.08

66%

Takedown defense

25%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

2.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.14Δ 4.07 — meaningful gap-2.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyle NokeRob Kimmons

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyle Noke(10 fights)Rob Kimmons(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.6|Blue -7.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +43.0|Blue -43.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyle NokeTargetRob Kimmons

By target zone

52% acc · 56%

Head

48% acc · 81%

100% acc · 28%

Body

100% acc · 19%

100% acc · 16%

Leg

By position

29% acc · 8%

Distance

45% acc · 56%

80% acc · 16%

Clinch

67% acc · 25%

73% acc · 76%

Ground

75% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyle Noke rounds

even

Rob Kimmons rounds

Round 1Kyle Noke edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns2

Control2:50

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

Round 2Kyle Noke edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:13

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 38

Sig Strikes

16 / 30

66.5%

Sig Str %

52.5%

43 / 57

Total Strikes

35 / 49

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 1

83%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:03

Ctrl Time

1:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rob Kimmons	9 / 17	25 / 33	0 / 1	0
1	Kyle Noke	15 / 24	29 / 39	2 / 3	1
2	Rob Kimmons	7 / 13	10 / 16	0 / 0	0
2	Kyle Noke	10 / 14	14 / 18	1 / 1	1

Kyle Noke

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12

Rob Kimmons

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3