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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Omari Akhmedov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1494

Kyle NokevsOmari AkhmedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · Saturday, November 26, 2016Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Omari Akhmedov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyle Noke: Well-roundedvsOmari Akhmedov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kyle Noke wins(71.4%)

Actual result: Omari Akhmedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyle Noke at -110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Noke (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Noke

Red Corner

Omari Akhmedov

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1359

Elo

1494

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyle NokeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Patrick Cote · Apr 14

vs Jonavin Webb · May 15

KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15

vs Alex Morono · Jan 16

SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16

latest

Omari Akhmedov

oldest →

vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19

vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19

DECvs Chris Weidman · Aug 20

SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21

vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyle NokeMetricOmari Akhmedov

3.23

Strikes / min

2.97

2.09

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

64%

Strike defense

55%

1.53

TDs / 15 min

2.58

66%

Takedown defense

65%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.14Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyle NokeOmari Akhmedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyle Noke(10 fights)Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -135.2|Blue +135.2

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -88.0|Blue +88.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyle NokeTargetOmari Akhmedov

By target zone

13% acc · 25%

Head

31% acc · 91%

50% acc · 13%

Body

0% acc

59% acc · 63%

Leg

50% acc · 9%

By position

32% acc · 100%

Distance

18% acc · 43%

0% acc

Clinch

Ground

76% acc · 57%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyle Noke rounds

even

Omari Akhmedov rounds

Round 1Omari Akhmedov edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:48Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:54Control

Round 3Omari Akhmedov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 51

Sig Strikes

23 / 74

31.7%

Sig Str %

29.7%

44 / 81

Total Strikes

57 / 113

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 4

—

TD %

83.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

6:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Omari Akhmedov	15 / 26	32 / 45	1 / 1
1	Kyle Noke	2 / 8	9 / 15	0 / 0
2	Omari Akhmedov	4 / 24	17 / 40	1 / 1
2	Kyle Noke	9 / 18	23 / 34	0 / 0
3	Omari Akhmedov	4 / 24	8 / 28	1 / 2
3	Kyle Noke	5 / 25	12 / 32	0 / 0

Kyle Noke

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12

Omari Akhmedov

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights14