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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Kyle Noke won · S-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1356

Kyle NokevsJonavin WebbUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · Saturday, May 9, 2015Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Kyle Noke won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyle Noke: Well-roundedvsJonavin Webb: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kyle Noke wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Kyle Noke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyle Noke at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kyle Noke has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Noke (53.5%).
Kyle Noke has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Noke

Red Corner

Jonavin Webb

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1359

Elo

1356

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyle NokeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Patrick Cote · Apr 14

KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15

vs Alex Morono · Jan 16

SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16

vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16

latest

Jonavin Webb

oldest →

vs Nathan Coy · Feb 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyle NokeMetricJonavin Webb

3.23

Strikes / min

1.47

2.09

Strikes absorbed / min

2.27

64%

Strike defense

64%

1.53

TDs / 15 min

2.50

66%

Takedown defense

40%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.14Δ 1.94 — meaningful gap-0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyle NokeJonavin Webb

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyle Noke(10 fights)Jonavin Webb(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.2|Blue -2.2

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.2|Blue +48.2

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyle NokeTargetJonavin Webb

By target zone

25% acc · 42%

Head

34% acc · 83%

100% acc · 6%

Body

33% acc · 9%

59% acc · 52%

Leg

40% acc · 9%

By position

35% acc · 71%

Distance

32% acc · 78%

Clinch

43% acc · 13%

45% acc · 29%

Ground

50% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyle Noke rounds

even

Jonavin Webb rounds

Round 1Jonavin Webb edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:01

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:12Control

Round 2Jonavin Webb edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control2:03

Knockdowns0

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:48Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Kyle Noke edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:01

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 82

Sig Strikes

23 / 67

36.7%

Sig Str %

33.3%

44 / 98

Total Strikes

33 / 80

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 8

—

TD %

22%

Sub Att

Rev

2:05

Ctrl Time

3:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jonavin Webb	5 / 19	5 / 20	1 / 3	1
1	Kyle Noke	7 / 19	8 / 20	0 / 0	0
2	Jonavin Webb	7 / 18	17 / 30	1 / 3	1
2	Kyle Noke	9 / 26	20 / 40	0 / 0	0
3	Jonavin Webb	11 / 30	11 / 30	0 / 2	0
3	Kyle Noke	15 / 37	16 / 38	0 / 0	0

Kyle Noke

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12

Jonavin Webb

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2