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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jimi Manuwa won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1353

Elo1373

Kyle KingsburyvsJimi ManuwaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · Saturday, September 29, 2012Nottingham, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jimi Manuwa won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 5:00

Style matchupKyle Kingsbury: WrestlervsJimi Manuwa: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kyle Kingsbury wins(72.8%)

Actual result: Jimi Manuwa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyle Kingsbury at +225 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jimi Manuwa has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Kingsbury

Red Corner

Jimi Manuwa

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-245

(71%)

1353

Elo

1373

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'1"

200.66 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyle KingsburyL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ricardo Romero · Feb 11

vs Fabio Maldonado · Jun 11

vs Stephan Bonnar · Nov 11

SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 12

vs Patrick Cummins · Jul 14

latest

Jimi ManuwaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyle KingsburyMetricJimi Manuwa

2.97

Strikes / min

3.43

3.81

Strikes absorbed / min

3.97

51%

Strike defense

49%

2.64

TDs / 15 min

0.53

52%

Takedown defense

70%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84evenly matched on net striking-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyle KingsburyJimi Manuwa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyle Kingsbury(7 fights)Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.9|Blue +19.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -47.8|Blue +47.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyle KingsburyTargetJimi Manuwa

By target zone

20% acc · 14%

Head

57% acc · 60%

100% acc · 32%

Body

100% acc · 26%

100% acc · 54%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

42% acc · 39%

Distance

61% acc · 66%

94% acc · 61%

Clinch

89% acc · 30%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyle Kingsbury rounds

even

Jimi Manuwa rounds

Round 1Jimi Manuwa edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control2:06

Knockdowns0

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Kyle Kingsbury edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control3:03

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 44

Sig Strikes

53 / 77

61.5%

Sig Str %

68.5%

58 / 74

Total Strikes

55 / 79

2 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

33%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:09

Ctrl Time

0:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jimi Manuwa	36 / 52	37 / 53	0 / 0	0
1	Kyle Kingsbury	9 / 18	14 / 23	0 / 5	0
2	Jimi Manuwa	17 / 25	18 / 26	0 / 0	1
2	Kyle Kingsbury	19 / 26	44 / 51	2 / 3	0

Kyle Kingsbury

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights7

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12