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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Glover Teixeira won · SUB R1
Elo1353
Kyle Kingsbury
Elo1450

Kyle KingsburyvsGlover TeixeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · Saturday, May 26, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:53

Style matchupKyle Kingsbury: WrestlervsGlover Teixeira: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Kyle Kingsbury wins(74.3%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyle Kingsbury at +215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Kingsbury
Red Corner
VS
Glover Teixeira
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
1353
Elo
1450
44
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyle KingsburyL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Ricardo Romero · Feb 11
W
vs Fabio Maldonado · Jun 11
L
vs Stephan Bonnar · Nov 11
L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 12
L
vs Patrick Cummins · Jul 14
latest
Glover TeixeiraL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20
W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20
W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21
L
SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22
L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyle KingsburyMetricGlover Teixeira
2.97
Strikes / min
3.73
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
4.43
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.64
TDs / 15 min
2.11
52%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.84evenly matched on net striking-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1500Strikes41.5 vs —Takedowns2.7 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.2 vs 0.0
Kyle KingsburyGlover Teixeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Kyle Kingsbury(7 fights)Glover Teixeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -96.5|Blue +96.5
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyle KingsburyTargetGlover Teixeira

By target zone

1
8% acc · 20%
Head
14
50% acc · 93%
2
50% acc · 40%
Body
1
50% acc · 7%
2
100% acc · 40%
Leg
0

By position

4
25% acc · 80%
Distance
11
55% acc · 73%
1
33% acc · 20%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
4
44% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Kyle Kingsbury rounds
0
even
1
Glover Teixeira rounds
Round 1Glover Teixeira edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
5 / 19
Sig Strikes
15 / 30
26%
Sig Str %
50%
5 / 19
Total Strikes
27 / 49
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
1:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Glover Teixeira15 / 3027 / 490 / 01
1Kyle Kingsbury5 / 195 / 190 / 10

Kyle Kingsbury

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights23