Featherweight

3 Rounds

Sean Woodson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1377

Elo1517

Kyle BochniakvsSean WoodsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · Friday, October 18, 2019Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Sean Woodson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyle Bochniak: Well-roundedvsSean Woodson: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Sean Woodson wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Sean Woodson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Woodson at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean Woodson has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Sean Woodson has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Bochniak

Red Corner

Sean Woodson

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1377

Elo

1517

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

6'2"

177.8 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyle BochniakL2 streak

oldest →

vs Enrique Barzola · Aug 16

vs Jeremy Kennedy · Jul 17

vs Brandon Davis · Jan 18

vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Apr 18

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Dec 18

latest

Sean Woodson

oldest →

vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23

vs Charles Jourdain · Jan 24

vs Alex Caceres · May 24

KOvs Fernando Padilla · Dec 24

KOvs Dan Ige · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyle BochniakMetricSean Woodson

2.63

Strikes / min

5.57

5.11

Strikes absorbed / min

4.18

58%

Strike defense

58%

1.14

TDs / 15 min

0.58

62%

Takedown defense

84%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.48Δ 3.87 — meaningful gap+1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyle BochniakSean Woodson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyle Bochniak(7 fights)Sean Woodson(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -139.9|Blue +139.9

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -47.7|Blue +47.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyle BochniakTargetSean Woodson

By target zone

15% acc · 40%

Head

40% acc · 84%

58% acc · 36%

Body

80% acc · 7%

83% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

23% acc · 76%

Distance

104

43% acc · 94%

71% acc · 24%

Clinch

88% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyle Bochniak rounds

even

Sean Woodson rounds

Round 1Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:25

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control2:03

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control1:00

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 151

Sig Strikes

111 / 251

30.7%

Sig Str %

44%

52 / 161

Total Strikes

150 / 290

1 / 15

TDs

0 / 0

8.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:28

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Woodson	31 / 68	46 / 83	0 / 0
1	Kyle Bochniak	13 / 37	20 / 44	1 / 4
2	Sean Woodson	34 / 74	54 / 94	0 / 0
2	Kyle Bochniak	13 / 35	16 / 38	0 / 5
3	Sean Woodson	46 / 109	50 / 113	0 / 0
3	Kyle Bochniak	16 / 79	16 / 79	0 / 6

Kyle Bochniak

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Sean Woodson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights9