← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jeremy Kennedy won · U-DEC R3

Elo1377

Elo1491

Kyle BochniakvsJeremy KennedyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · Saturday, July 22, 2017Uniondale, New York, USA

Official fight result

Jeremy Kennedy won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKyle Bochniak: Well-roundedvsJeremy Kennedy: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jeremy Kennedy wins(70.9%)

Actual result: Jeremy Kennedy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeremy Kennedy at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyle Bochniak enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kyle Bochniak has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Bochniak

Red Corner

Jeremy Kennedy

Blue Corner

+245

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-290

(74%)

1377

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kyle BochniakL3 streak

oldest →

vs Enrique Barzola · Aug 16

vs Brandon Davis · Jan 18

vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Apr 18

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Dec 18

vs Sean Woodson · Oct 19

latest

Jeremy Kennedy

oldest →

DECvs Alessandro Ricci · Aug 16

vs Rony Jason · Mar 17

KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kyle BochniakMetricJeremy Kennedy

2.63

Strikes / min

2.22

5.11

Strikes absorbed / min

2.58

58%

Strike defense

47%

1.14

TDs / 15 min

5.73

62%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.48Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap-0.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kyle BochniakJeremy Kennedy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kyle Bochniak(7 fights)Jeremy Kennedy(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -113.9|Blue +113.9

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kyle BochniakTargetJeremy Kennedy

By target zone

30% acc · 57%

Head

37% acc · 73%

100% acc · 13%

Body

86% acc · 15%

88% acc · 30%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

43% acc · 96%

Distance

30% acc · 32%

Clinch

64% acc · 17%

33% acc · 4%

Ground

54% acc · 51%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kyle Bochniak rounds

even

Jeremy Kennedy rounds

Round 1Jeremy Kennedy edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:43Control

Round 2Jeremy Kennedy edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

4:38Control

Round 3Jeremy Kennedy edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:17Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 54

Sig Strikes

41 / 94

32.3%

Sig Str %

46.3%

43 / 76

Total Strikes

59 / 118

0 / 0

TDs

8 / 14

—

TD %

57.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

11:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jeremy Kennedy	8 / 15	17 / 26	2 / 3
1	Kyle Bochniak	3 / 9	7 / 13	0 / 0
2	Jeremy Kennedy	13 / 27	19 / 34	4 / 6
2	Kyle Bochniak	1 / 6	16 / 23	0 / 0
3	Jeremy Kennedy	20 / 52	23 / 58	2 / 5
3	Kyle Bochniak	19 / 39	20 / 40	0 / 0

Kyle Bochniak

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Jeremy Kennedy

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4