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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Igor Pokrajac won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1357

Krzysztof SoszynskivsIgor PokrajacUFC Prediction Result

UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · Saturday, December 10, 2011Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Igor Pokrajac won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:35

Model Prediction: Krzysztof Soszynski wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Igor Pokrajac wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Krzysztof Soszynski at -255 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Igor Pokrajac enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Igor Pokrajac is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Krzysztof Soszynski has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Krzysztof Soszynski has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Krzysztof Soszynski has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Krzysztof Soszynski

Red Corner

Igor Pokrajac

Blue Corner

-255

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1490

Elo

1357

Age

Open Stance

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Krzysztof SoszynskiW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Stephan Bonnar · Jul 10

vs Goran Reljic · Nov 10

vs Mike Massenzio · Jun 11

latest

Igor PokrajacL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12

vs Ryan Jimmo · Jun 13

KOvs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13

KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14

vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Krzysztof SoszynskiMetricIgor Pokrajac

3.37

Strikes / min

2.25

3.13

Strikes absorbed / min

4.26

58%

Strike defense

40%

0.52

TDs / 15 min

0.87

71%

Takedown defense

51%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.24Δ 2.25 — meaningful gap-2.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Krzysztof SoszynskiIgor Pokrajac

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Krzysztof Soszynski(4 fights)Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.5|Blue -133.5

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -100.0|Blue +100.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Krzysztof SoszynskiTargetIgor Pokrajac

By target zone

43% acc · 75%

Head

67% acc · 95%

100% acc · 25%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

50% acc · 100%

Distance

47% acc · 33%

Clinch

71% acc · 24%

Ground

100% acc · 43%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Krzysztof Soszynski rounds

even

Igor Pokrajac rounds

Round 1Igor Pokrajac edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 8

Sig Strikes

21 / 31

50%

Sig Str %

67%

4 / 8

Total Strikes

21 / 31

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Igor Pokrajac	21 / 31	21 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Krzysztof Soszynski	4 / 8	4 / 8	0 / 0	0

Krzysztof Soszynski

StanceOpen Stance

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4

Igor Pokrajac

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10