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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Krzysztof Soszynski won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1351

Krzysztof SoszynskivsGoran ReljicUFC Prediction Result

UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · Saturday, November 13, 2010Oberhausen, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany

Official fight result

Krzysztof Soszynski won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKrzysztof Soszynski: Well-roundedvsGoran Reljic: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Krzysztof Soszynski wins(59.3%)

Actual result: Krzysztof Soszynski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Krzysztof Soszynski at -108 American odds

+$93 profit

$193 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Krzysztof Soszynski has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Goran Reljic has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Krzysztof Soszynski

Red Corner

Goran Reljic

Blue Corner

-108

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-102

(50%)

1490

Elo

1351

Age

Open Stance

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Krzysztof Soszynski

oldest →

KOvs Stephan Bonnar · Jul 10

vs Mike Massenzio · Jun 11

KOvs Igor Pokrajac · Dec 11

latest

Goran Reljic

oldest →

vs Kendall Grove · Jul 10

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Krzysztof SoszynskiMetricGoran Reljic

3.37

Strikes / min

1.69

3.13

Strikes absorbed / min

2.69

58%

Strike defense

59%

0.52

TDs / 15 min

1.69

71%

Takedown defense

33%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.24Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Krzysztof SoszynskiGoran Reljic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Krzysztof Soszynski(4 fights)Goran Reljic(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.3|Blue -139.3

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Krzysztof SoszynskiTargetGoran Reljic

By target zone

39% acc · 61%

Head

23% acc · 61%

86% acc · 11%

Body

78% acc · 30%

89% acc · 28%

Leg

40% acc · 9%

By position

40% acc · 60%

Distance

32% acc · 100%

90% acc · 16%

Clinch

70% acc · 25%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Krzysztof Soszynski rounds

even

Goran Reljic rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:56Control

Round 2Krzysztof Soszynski edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control1:08

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:46Control

Round 3Krzysztof Soszynski edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control2:55

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 114

Sig Strikes

23 / 74

50%

Sig Str %

30.3%

107 / 168

Total Strikes

74 / 133

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 6

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

4:03

Ctrl Time

5:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Goran Reljic	10 / 34	48 / 72	1 / 2	0
1	Krzysztof Soszynski	16 / 40	17 / 41	0 / 0	1
2	Goran Reljic	4 / 16	17 / 37	1 / 2	0
2	Krzysztof Soszynski	16 / 29	36 / 49	0 / 1	0
3	Goran Reljic	9 / 24	9 / 24	0 / 2	0
3	Krzysztof Soszynski	25 / 45	54 / 78	0 / 0	2

Krzysztof Soszynski

StanceOpen Stance

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4

Goran Reljic

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights2