Skip to content
Middleweight
3 Rounds
Uriah Hall won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1496
Krzysztof Jotko
Elo1430
Uriah Hall

Krzysztof JotkovsUriah HallUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · Saturday, September 16, 2017Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Uriah Hall won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:25

Style matchupKrzysztof Jotko: Well-roundedvsUriah Hall: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Krzysztof Jotko wins(64.7%)

Actual result: Uriah Hall wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Krzysztof Jotko at -200 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Krzysztof Jotko has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Krzysztof Jotko
Red Corner
VS
Uriah Hall
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1496
Elo
1430
36
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20
L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21
W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21
W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22
L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22
latest
Uriah HallL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Antonio Carlos Junior · Sep 19
W
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 20
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 21
L
vs Sean Strickland · Jul 21
L
vs Andre Muniz · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Krzysztof JotkoMetricUriah Hall
2.98
Strikes / min
3.23
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.85
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
0.54
82%
Takedown defense
64%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap-0.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1564 vs 1493Strikes34.6 vs 27.6Takedowns1.0 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.18Form0.2 vs -0.5
Krzysztof JotkoUriah Hall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)Uriah Hall(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +66.3|Blue -66.3
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Krzysztof JotkoTargetUriah Hall

By target zone

40
47% acc · 91%
Head
15
47% acc · 58%
3
75% acc · 7%
Body
6
86% acc · 23%
1
100% acc · 2%
Leg
5
100% acc · 19%

By position

15
36% acc · 34%
Distance
19
58% acc · 73%
15
56% acc · 34%
Clinch
0
14
67% acc · 32%
Ground
7
64% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Krzysztof Jotko rounds
0
even
1
Uriah Hall rounds
Round 1Krzysztof Jotko edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns1
Control2:19
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Uriah Hall edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
1
44 / 90
Sig Strikes
26 / 44
42.5%
Sig Str %
63.5%
60 / 108
Total Strikes
26 / 44
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
50%
TD %
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:19
Ctrl Time
0:06

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Uriah Hall10 / 1310 / 130 / 00
1Krzysztof Jotko39 / 7555 / 931 / 21
2Uriah Hall16 / 3116 / 310 / 00
2Krzysztof Jotko5 / 155 / 150 / 00

Krzysztof Jotko

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16

Uriah Hall

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights20