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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Krzysztof Jotko won · U-DEC R3
Elo1496
Krzysztof Jotko
Elo1512
Eryk Anders

Krzysztof JotkovsEryk AndersUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · Saturday, May 16, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Krzysztof Jotko won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKrzysztof Jotko: Well-roundedvsEryk Anders: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Krzysztof Jotko wins(62.5%)

Actual result: Krzysztof Jotko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Krzysztof Jotko at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Krzysztof Jotko
Red Corner
VS
Eryk Anders
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1496
Elo
1512
36
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →
W
vs Alen Amedovski · Apr 19
L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21
W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21
W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22
L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22
latest
Eryk Anders
oldest →
L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23
W
vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24
L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25
W
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Krzysztof JotkoMetricEryk Anders
2.98
Strikes / min
3.44
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
57%
Strike defense
50%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
1.83
82%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1543 vs 1525Strikes3.0 vs 3.0Takedowns1.3 vs 1.3Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.10Form0.2 vs 0.1
Krzysztof JotkoEryk Anders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -15.9|Blue +15.9
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Krzysztof Jotko

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19