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Flyweight

3 Rounds

CJ Vergara won · S-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1486

Kleydson RodriguesvsCJ VergaraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · Saturday, May 7, 2022Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

CJ Vergara won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Kleydson Rodrigues wins(51.5%)

Actual result: CJ Vergara wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kleydson Rodrigues at -400 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

CJ Vergara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Kleydson Rodrigues

Red Corner

CJ Vergara

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1492

Elo

1486

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kleydson RodriguesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shannon Ross · Feb 23

SUBvs Farid Basharat · Sep 23

vs Alatengheili · May 24

latest

CJ VergaraL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Mar 23

vs Vinicius Salvador · Jul 23

vs Asu Almabayev · Mar 24

KOvs Ramazan Temirov · Oct 24

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kleydson RodriguesMetricCJ Vergara

4.58

Strikes / min

5.02

2.29

Strikes absorbed / min

4.69

53%

Strike defense

53%

0.60

TDs / 15 min

0.00

53%

Takedown defense

60%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.29Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kleydson RodriguesCJ Vergara

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kleydson Rodrigues(4 fights)CJ Vergara(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.7|Blue -5.7

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kleydson RodriguesTargetCJ Vergara

By target zone

43% acc · 48%

Head

47% acc · 59%

80% acc · 40%

Body

72% acc · 25%

83% acc · 12%

Leg

85% acc · 15%

By position

53% acc · 86%

Distance

49% acc · 63%

86% acc · 7%

Clinch

70% acc · 10%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

76% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kleydson Rodrigues rounds

even

CJ Vergara rounds

Round 1Kleydson Rodrigues edged it

Sig. strikes48

Takedowns1

Control0:54

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2CJ Vergara edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:09

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:58Control

Round 3Kleydson Rodrigues edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control2:11

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

81 / 143

Sig Strikes

71 / 127

60.7%

Sig Str %

55.3%

93 / 156

Total Strikes

155 / 221

2 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

27.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:14

Ctrl Time

4:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	CJ Vergara	27 / 51	54 / 80	0 / 0	0
1	Kleydson Rodrigues	48 / 88	52 / 92	1 / 2	0
2	CJ Vergara	26 / 39	65 / 84	0 / 0	0
2	Kleydson Rodrigues	13 / 17	20 / 24	0 / 2	0
3	CJ Vergara	18 / 37	36 / 57	0 / 0	0
3	Kleydson Rodrigues	20 / 38	21 / 40	1 / 3	1

Kleydson Rodrigues

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4

CJ Vergara

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8