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Flyweight
3 Rounds
DongHun Choi won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1509
DongHun Choi

Kiru SahotavsDongHun ChoiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, November 23, 2024Macau, China

Official fight result

DongHun Choi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:36

Model Prediction: Kiru Sahota wins(50.8%)

Actual result: DongHun Choi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kiru Sahota at +102 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • DongHun Choi has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • DongHun Choi has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors DongHun Choi (52.9%).
  • Kiru Sahota has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kiru Sahota
Red Corner
VS
DongHun Choi
Blue Corner
+102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-122
(55%)
1491
Elo
1509
31
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'5"
185.42 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kiru SahotaMetricDongHun Choi
4.05
Strikes / min
4.54
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.13
41%
Strike defense
58%
0.92
TDs / 15 min
0.46
50%
Takedown defense
81%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.41evenly matched on net striking+1.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes4.0 vs 4.5Takedowns0.9 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Kiru SahotaDongHun Choi

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -18.8|Blue +18.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kiru SahotaTargetDongHun Choi

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
6
50% acc · 50%
0
0% acc
Body
2
67% acc · 17%
2
50% acc · 100%
Leg
4
100% acc · 33%

By position

2
9% acc · 100%
Distance
12
71% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Kiru Sahota rounds
0
even
1
DongHun Choi rounds
Round 1DongHun Choi edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
2 / 23
Sig Strikes
12 / 19
8%
Sig Str %
63%
5 / 26
Total Strikes
12 / 19
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1DongHun Choi12 / 1912 / 190 / 00
1Kiru Sahota2 / 235 / 260 / 00

Kiru Sahota

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1

DongHun Choi

StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights1