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Lightweight

3 Rounds

King Green won · U-DEC R3

Elo1568

Elo1516

King GreenvsJim MillerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Saturday, April 13, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

King Green won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKing Green: Pressure fightervsJim Miller: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: King Green wins(75.0%)

Actual result: King Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jim Miller threatens submissions; King Green has lost 33% of fights by sub.
King Green has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

King Green

Red Corner

Jim Miller

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1568

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

King GreenW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Mar 25

vs Lance Gibson Jr. · Dec 25

KOvs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 26

SUBvs Jeremy Stephens · May 26

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 26

latest

Jim Miller

oldest →

KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

King GreenMetricJim Miller

6.46

Strikes / min

2.92

3.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.43

62%

Strike defense

56%

1.33

TDs / 15 min

1.49

72%

Takedown defense

47%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.91Δ 3.42 — meaningful gap-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

King GreenJim Miller

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

King Green(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.1|Blue -52.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

King GreenTargetJim Miller

By target zone

136

56% acc · 73%

Head

28% acc · 51%

71% acc · 22%

Body

56% acc · 18%

56% acc · 5%

Leg

78% acc · 32%

By position

167

57% acc · 90%

Distance

39% acc · 96%

88% acc · 4%

Clinch

67% acc · 4%

75% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

King Green rounds

even

Jim Miller rounds

Round 1King Green edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2King Green edged it

Sig. strikes61

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3King Green edged it

Sig. strikes82

Takedowns1

Control0:54

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

186 / 319

Sig Strikes

57 / 144

57%

Sig Str %

39%

187 / 320

Total Strikes

58 / 145

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:54

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jim Miller	17 / 46	17 / 46	0 / 0
1	King Green	43 / 83	43 / 83	0 / 0
2	Jim Miller	20 / 53	20 / 53	0 / 0
2	King Green	61 / 115	61 / 115	0 / 0
3	Jim Miller	20 / 45	21 / 46	0 / 0
3	King Green	82 / 121	83 / 122	1 / 1

King Green

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40