Welterweight

3 Rounds

Kiichi Kunimoto won · S-DEC R3

Elo1361

Elo1359

Kiichi KunimotovsRichard WalshUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Saturday, September 20, 2014Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Kiichi Kunimoto won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Richard Walsh wins(76.5%)

Actual result: Kiichi Kunimoto wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Richard Walsh at +215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Richard Walsh has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Richard Walsh has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kiichi Kunimoto

Red Corner

Richard Walsh

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+215

(32%)

1361

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kiichi KunimotoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Luiz Dutra · Jan 14

SUBvs Daniel Sarafian · Jun 14

SUBvs Neil Magny · Feb 15

vs Zak Ottow · Jun 17

latest

Richard WalshL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Indich · Apr 14

KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 15

vs Steve Kennedy · Nov 15

vs Viscardi Andrade · Mar 16

vs Jonathan Meunier · Nov 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kiichi KunimotoMetricRichard Walsh

1.87

Strikes / min

3.84

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

2.72

41%

Strike defense

58%

1.59

TDs / 15 min

1.55

28%

Takedown defense

66%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.05Δ 3.17 — meaningful gap+1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kiichi KunimotoRichard Walsh

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kiichi Kunimoto(5 fights)Richard Walsh(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -59.0|Blue +59.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kiichi KunimotoTargetRichard Walsh

By target zone

23% acc · 44%

Head

44% acc · 53%

88% acc · 39%

Body

63% acc · 17%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

95% acc · 31%

By position

28% acc · 56%

Distance

51% acc · 69%

78% acc · 39%

Clinch

67% acc · 24%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kiichi Kunimoto rounds

even

Richard Walsh rounds

Round 1Richard Walsh edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:03

Knockdowns0

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:45Control

2Knockdowns

Round 2Richard Walsh edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control1:37

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 3Kiichi Kunimoto edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control3:26

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 92

Sig Strikes

59 / 105

39.3%

Sig Str %

54.3%

62 / 128

Total Strikes

96 / 142

1 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

11%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:06

Ctrl Time

3:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Richard Walsh	33 / 51	60 / 78	0 / 0
1	Kiichi Kunimoto	10 / 35	13 / 38	0 / 2
2	Richard Walsh	16 / 36	24 / 44	0 / 0
2	Kiichi Kunimoto	11 / 29	16 / 34	0 / 5
3	Richard Walsh	10 / 18	12 / 20	0 / 0
3	Kiichi Kunimoto	15 / 28	33 / 56	1 / 3

Kiichi Kunimoto

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5

Richard Walsh

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6