Welterweight

3 Rounds

Kiichi Kunimoto won · DQ R1

Elo1361

Elo1355

Kiichi KunimotovsLuiz DutraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · Saturday, January 4, 2014Singapore, Singapore

Official fight result

Kiichi Kunimoto won

DQ · Round 1 · 2:57

Model Prediction: Luiz Dutra wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Kiichi Kunimoto wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luiz Dutra at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luiz Dutra has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kiichi Kunimoto

Red Corner

Luiz Dutra

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1361

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kiichi KunimotoL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Daniel Sarafian · Jun 14

vs Richard Walsh · Sep 14

SUBvs Neil Magny · Feb 15

vs Zak Ottow · Jun 17

latest

Luiz Dutra

oldest →

KOvs Tom Breese · May 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kiichi KunimotoMetricLuiz Dutra

1.87

Strikes / min

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

4.80

41%

Strike defense

41%

1.59

TDs / 15 min

0.00

28%

Takedown defense

100%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.05Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-0.88

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kiichi Kunimoto(5 fights)Luiz Dutra(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.8|Blue -5.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kiichi KunimotoTargetLuiz Dutra

By target zone

47% acc · 75%

Head

38% acc · 50%

Body

100% acc · 40%

75% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

39% acc · 58%

Distance

53% acc · 90%

100% acc · 42%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kiichi Kunimoto rounds

even

Luiz Dutra rounds

Round 1Kiichi Kunimoto edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:57

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 23

Sig Strikes

10 / 18

52%

Sig Str %

55%

12 / 23

Total Strikes

17 / 25

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:57

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Luiz Dutra	10 / 18	17 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Kiichi Kunimoto	12 / 23	12 / 23	0 / 3	0

Kiichi Kunimoto

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5

Luiz Dutra

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2