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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Sean Strickland won · Decision R5
Elo1517
Khamzat Chimaev
Elo1530
Sean Strickland

Khamzat ChimaevvsSean StricklandUFC Prediction Result

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

Decision · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupKhamzat Chimaev: WrestlervsSean Strickland: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Khamzat Chimaev wins(78.3%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Khamzat Chimaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Khamzat Chimaev has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Khamzat Chimaev
Red Corner
VS
Sean Strickland
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1517
Elo
1530
32
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khamzat ChimaevW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22
W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22
W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23
W
SUBvs Robert Whittaker · Oct 24
W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25
latest
Sean Strickland
oldest →
W
vs Israel Adesanya · Sep 23
L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24
W
vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24
L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25
W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khamzat ChimaevMetricSean Strickland
4.01
Strikes / min
5.98
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
4.53
52%
Strike defense
60%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
0.66
87%
Takedown defense
68%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.45
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901505152015351550← oldermost recent →
Khamzat Chimaev(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -13.3|Blue +13.3
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff
Red +189.0|Blue -189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Khamzat Chimaev

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25