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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tyson Pedro won · SUB R1
Elo1502
Elo1501

Khalil Rountree Jr.vsTyson PedroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · Saturday, November 26, 2016Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Tyson Pedro won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:07

Model Prediction: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Tyson Pedro wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Khalil Rountree Jr. at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tyson Pedro is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Khalil Rountree Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Tyson Pedro
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
1502
Elo
1501
36
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24
W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25
latest
Tyson Pedro
oldest →
W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22
W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22
L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23
W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23
L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalil Rountree Jr.MetricTyson Pedro
3.88
Strikes / min
2.90
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.39
49%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.76
58%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.45evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1500Strikes14.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Khalil Rountree Jr.Tyson Pedro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)Tyson Pedro(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalil Rountree Jr.TargetTyson Pedro

By target zone

3
43% acc · 100%
Head
0
0
Body
1
100% acc · 25%
0
Leg
3
50% acc · 75%

By position

3
50% acc · 100%
Distance
4
57% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds
0
even
1
Tyson Pedro rounds
Round 1Tyson Pedro edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:08Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
3 / 7
Sig Strikes
4 / 7
42%
Sig Str %
57%
10 / 14
Total Strikes
15 / 21
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 2
—
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
3:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tyson Pedro4 / 715 / 212 / 21
1Khalil Rountree Jr.3 / 710 / 140 / 00

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17

Tyson Pedro

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11