Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1502

Elo1429

Khalil Rountree Jr.vsKarl RobersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, March 12, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Khalil Rountree Jr. won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:25

Model Prediction: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Khalil Rountree Jr. at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Karl Roberson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Khalil Rountree Jr. has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Red Corner

Karl Roberson

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1502

Elo

1429

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalil Rountree Jr.

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25

latest

Karl RobersonL3 streak

oldest →

vs Wellington Turman · Jul 19

SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19

SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21

KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalil Rountree Jr.MetricKarl Roberson

3.88

Strikes / min

2.57

4.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.42

49%

Strike defense

57%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.72

58%

Takedown defense

40%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.45evenly matched on net striking+0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Khalil Rountree Jr.Karl Roberson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +73.9|Blue -73.9

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalil Rountree Jr.TargetKarl Roberson

By target zone

30% acc · 62%

Head

40% acc · 24%

56% acc · 19%

Body

67% acc · 35%

71% acc · 19%

Leg

78% acc · 41%

By position

31% acc · 65%

Distance

59% acc · 94%

71% acc · 19%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

57% acc · 15%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

even

Karl Roberson rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns2

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 69

Sig Strikes

17 / 28

43%

Sig Str %

31%

26 / 69

Total Strikes

17 / 28

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Karl Roberson	17 / 27	17 / 27	0 / 0
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	18 / 54	18 / 54	0 / 0
2	Karl Roberson	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0
2	Khalil Rountree Jr.	8 / 15	8 / 15	0 / 0

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Karl Roberson

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10