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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Johnny Walker won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1502
Elo1495

Khalil Rountree Jr.vsJohnny WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Saturday, November 17, 2018Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Official fight result

Johnny Walker won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:57

Style matchupKhalil Rountree Jr.: StrikervsJohnny Walker: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins(62.7%)

Actual result: Johnny Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Khalil Rountree Jr. at -155 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Johnny Walker has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).
  • Johnny Walker has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Khalil Rountree Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Johnny Walker
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1502
Elo
1495
36
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'6"
193.04 cm
Reach
208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24
W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25
latest
Johnny Walker
oldest →
W
vs Anthony Smith · May 23
L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24
W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25
L
DECvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalil Rountree Jr.MetricJohnny Walker
3.88
Strikes / min
3.90
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
49%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.36
58%
Takedown defense
57%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.45Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1500Strikes16.0 vs Takedowns0.0 vs Sub Atts0.17 vs Form0.7 vs 0.0
Khalil Rountree Jr.Johnny Walker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)Johnny Walker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +7.8|Blue -7.8
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalil Rountree Jr.TargetJohnny Walker

By target zone

3
43% acc · 75%
Head
7
88% acc · 70%
0
Body
1
100% acc · 10%
1
50% acc · 25%
Leg
2
100% acc · 20%

By position

1
20% acc · 25%
Distance
5
83% acc · 50%
3
75% acc · 75%
Clinch
3
100% acc · 30%
0
Ground
2
100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds
0
even
1
Johnny Walker rounds
Round 1Johnny Walker edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
4 / 9
Sig Strikes
10 / 11
44%
Sig Str %
90%
5 / 10
Total Strikes
10 / 11
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Johnny Walker10 / 1110 / 110 / 00
1Khalil Rountree Jr.4 / 95 / 100 / 00

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17

Johnny Walker

StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights14