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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1502

Elo1471

Khalil Rountree Jr.vsChris DaukausUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, August 12, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Khalil Rountree Jr. won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:40

Style matchupKhalil Rountree Jr.: StrikervsChris Daukaus: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Chris Daukaus wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Daukaus at +142 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Daukaus enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Chris Daukaus has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Chris Daukaus has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Red Corner

Chris Daukaus

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+142

(41%)

1502

Elo

1471

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalil Rountree Jr.

oldest →

vs Dustin Jacoby · Oct 22

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25

latest

Chris DaukausL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Feb 21

KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Dec 21

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22

KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalil Rountree Jr.MetricChris Daukaus

3.88

Strikes / min

6.05

4.33

Strikes absorbed / min

4.64

49%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

58%

Takedown defense

100%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.45Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+1.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Khalil Rountree Jr.Chris Daukaus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)Chris Daukaus(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +31.6|Blue -31.6

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalil Rountree Jr.TargetChris Daukaus

By target zone

63% acc · 75%

Head

32% acc · 75%

75% acc · 19%

Body

100% acc · 25%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

By position

65% acc · 69%

Distance

37% acc · 88%

75% acc · 19%

Clinch

50% acc · 13%

67% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

even

Chris Daukaus rounds

Round 1Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:31

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 24

Sig Strikes

8 / 21

66%

Sig Str %

38%

16 / 24

Total Strikes

14 / 28

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:31

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Daukaus	8 / 21	14 / 28	0 / 1	0
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	16 / 24	16 / 24	0 / 0	0

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Chris Daukaus

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights8