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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Sergey Morozov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1434

Elo1498

Khalid TahavsSergey MorozovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · Saturday, July 17, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sergey Morozov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Sergey Morozov wins(58.1%)

Actual result: Sergey Morozov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sergey Morozov at +120 American odds

+$120 profit

$220 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Khalid Taha threatens submissions; Sergey Morozov has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Sergey Morozov has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Khalid Taha

Red Corner

Sergey Morozov

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1434

Elo

1498

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

175.26 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalid TahaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nad Narimani · Jul 18

KOvs Boston Salmon · Apr 19

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 19

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 20

KOvs Cristian Quinonez · Sep 22

latest

Sergey MorozovW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 21

SUBvs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Feb 22

vs Raulian Paiva · Jun 22

vs Journey Newson · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalid TahaMetricSergey Morozov

2.64

Strikes / min

3.01

4.12

Strikes absorbed / min

2.97

46%

Strike defense

61%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

3.63

61%

Takedown defense

68%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.48Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Khalid TahaSergey Morozov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Khalid Taha(6 fights)Sergey Morozov(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -64.5|Blue +64.5

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +74.0|Blue -74.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalid TahaTargetSergey Morozov

By target zone

11% acc · 27%

Head

48% acc · 90%

48% acc · 36%

Body

40% acc · 4%

75% acc · 36%

Leg

75% acc · 6%

By position

26% acc · 91%

Distance

41% acc · 66%

60% acc · 9%

Clinch

86% acc · 12%

0% acc

Ground

73% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Khalid Taha rounds

even

Sergey Morozov rounds

Round 1Sergey Morozov edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:58Control

Round 2Sergey Morozov edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:53Control

Round 3Sergey Morozov edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:43Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 123

Sig Strikes

50 / 103

25%

Sig Str %

47.7%

66 / 158

Total Strikes

99 / 159

0 / 1

TDs

6 / 16

TD %

40%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

8:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sergey Morozov	8 / 18	21 / 35	1 / 2
1	Khalid Taha	3 / 19	23 / 41	0 / 0
2	Sergey Morozov	17 / 33	33 / 51	3 / 7
2	Khalid Taha	12 / 35	19 / 42	0 / 0
3	Sergey Morozov	25 / 52	45 / 73	2 / 7
3	Khalid Taha	18 / 69	24 / 75	0 / 1

Khalid Taha

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Sergey Morozov

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5