← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Nad Narimani won · U-DEC R3

Elo1434

Elo1386

Khalid TahavsNad NarimaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Sunday, July 22, 2018Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Nad Narimani won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nad Narimani wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Nad Narimani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nad Narimani at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Khalid Taha enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Khalid Taha is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nad Narimani has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Nad Narimani has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Khalid Taha

Red Corner

Nad Narimani

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1434

Elo

1386

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalid TahaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Boston Salmon · Apr 19

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 19

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 20

vs Sergey Morozov · Jul 21

KOvs Cristian Quinonez · Sep 22

latest

Nad NarimaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anderson Dos Santos · Nov 18

KOvs Mike Grundy · Mar 19

vs Grant Dawson · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalid TahaMetricNad Narimani

2.64

Strikes / min

3.33

4.12

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

46%

Strike defense

58%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.92

61%

Takedown defense

70%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.48Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+0.33

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Khalid Taha(6 fights)Nad Narimani(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.5|Blue -47.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalid TahaTargetNad Narimani

By target zone

55% acc · 75%

Head

66% acc · 82%

50% acc · 9%

Body

50% acc · 11%

71% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

51% acc · 66%

Distance

44% acc · 31%

64% acc · 22%

Clinch

71% acc · 11%

80% acc · 13%

Ground

87% acc · 58%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Khalid Taha rounds

even

Nad Narimani rounds

Round 1Nad Narimani edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:12

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:04Control

Round 2Nad Narimani edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:22Control

Round 3Nad Narimani edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:23

7Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:41Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 57

Sig Strikes

45 / 69

54.3%

Sig Str %

66.3%

59 / 91

Total Strikes

67 / 97

0 / 0

TDs

6 / 11

—

TD %

58.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

10:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nad Narimani	12 / 26	16 / 33	2 / 4
1	Khalid Taha	11 / 17	18 / 24	0 / 0
2	Nad Narimani	26 / 34	37 / 48	1 / 4
2	Khalid Taha	15 / 26	23 / 35	0 / 0
3	Nad Narimani	7 / 9	14 / 16	3 / 3
3	Khalid Taha	6 / 14	18 / 32	0 / 0

Khalid Taha

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Nad Narimani

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4