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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cristian Quinonez won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1434
Khalid Taha
Elo1511
Cristian Quinonez

Khalid TahavsCristian QuinonezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Saturday, September 3, 2022Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Cristian Quinonez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:15

Model Prediction: Cristian Quinonez wins(77.1%)

Actual result: Cristian Quinonez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cristian Quinonez at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Khalid Taha threatens submissions; Cristian Quinonez has lost 100% of fights by sub.
  • Cristian Quinonez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Cristian Quinonez has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Khalid Taha
Red Corner
VS
Cristian Quinonez
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1434
Elo
1511
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalid TahaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Nad Narimani · Jul 18
W
KOvs Boston Salmon · Apr 19
W
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 19
L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 20
L
vs Sergey Morozov · Jul 21
latest
Cristian Quinonez
oldest →
L
SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 23
L
SUBvs Raoni Barcelos · Feb 24
W
vs Kris Moutinho · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalid TahaMetricCristian Quinonez
2.64
Strikes / min
3.67
4.12
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
46%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.14
61%
Takedown defense
85%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.48Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1486 vs 1500Strikes2.6 vs 4.2Takedowns0.0 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.7 vs 0.0
Khalid TahaCristian Quinonez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Khalid Taha(6 fights)Cristian Quinonez(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -76.7|Blue +76.7
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalid TahaTargetCristian Quinonez

By target zone

5
20% acc · 83%
Head
17
40% acc · 89%
1
100% acc · 17%
Body
0
0% acc
0
0% acc
Leg
2
100% acc · 11%

By position

6
22% acc · 100%
Distance
15
36% acc · 79%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
4
80% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Khalid Taha rounds
0
even
1
Cristian Quinonez rounds
Round 1Cristian Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
6 / 27
Sig Strikes
19 / 47
22%
Sig Str %
40%
6 / 27
Total Strikes
19 / 47
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cristian Quinonez19 / 4719 / 470 / 00
1Khalid Taha6 / 276 / 270 / 00

Khalid Taha

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6

Cristian Quinonez

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4