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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Khalid Murtazaliev won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Khalid MurtazalievvsCB DollawayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · Saturday, September 15, 2018Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Khalid Murtazaliev won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 5:00

Style matchupKhalid Murtazaliev: WrestlervsCB Dollaway: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: CB Dollaway wins(74.4%)

Actual result: Khalid Murtazaliev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

CB Dollaway at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Khalid Murtazaliev is a KO finisher (100% of wins). CB Dollaway has lost 71% of fights by KO.
Khalid Murtazaliev has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
CB Dollaway has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Khalid Murtazaliev

Red Corner

CB Dollaway

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1491

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khalid MurtazalievNo prior UFC fights on record.

CB DollawayW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Lyoto Machida · Dec 14

vs Michael Bisping · Apr 15

KOvs Nate Marquardt · Dec 15

vs Ed Herman · Jul 17

vs Hector Lombard · Mar 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khalid MurtazalievMetricCB Dollaway

4.80

Strikes / min

2.65

0.40

Strikes absorbed / min

2.58

78%

Strike defense

54%

7.50

TDs / 15 min

3.55

33%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+4.40Δ 4.33 — meaningful gap+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Khalid MurtazalievCB Dollaway

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Khalid Murtazaliev(1 fights)CB Dollaway(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +48.8|Blue -48.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khalid MurtazalievTargetCB Dollaway

By target zone

62% acc · 69%

Head

8% acc · 25%

92% acc · 23%

Body

33% acc · 50%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

67% acc · 17%

Distance

22% acc · 100%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

0% acc

69% acc · 77%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Khalid Murtazaliev rounds

even

CB Dollaway rounds

Round 1Khalid Murtazaliev edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns4

Control2:56

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 2Khalid Murtazaliev edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns1

Control3:02

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 69

Sig Strikes

4 / 19

69%

Sig Str %

20.5%

53 / 74

Total Strikes

23 / 38

5 / 5

TDs

2 / 3

100%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

5:58

Ctrl Time

1:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	CB Dollaway	3 / 14	11 / 22	1 / 2	2
1	Khalid Murtazaliev	13 / 19	16 / 22	4 / 4	0
2	CB Dollaway	1 / 5	12 / 16	1 / 1	1
2	Khalid Murtazaliev	35 / 50	37 / 52	1 / 1	0

Khalid Murtazaliev

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights1

CB Dollaway

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14