Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Souza won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1490
Kevin Souza
Elo1357
Mark Eddiva

Kevin SouzavsMark EddivaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · Saturday, May 31, 2014Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Kevin Souza won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:52

Model Prediction: Kevin Souza wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Kevin Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kevin Souza at -325 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kevin Souza has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kevin Souza
Red Corner
VS
Mark Eddiva
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
1490
Elo
1357
29
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kevin Souza
oldest →
W
DECvs Felipe Arantes · Sep 13
W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Mar 15
L
SUBvs Chas Skelly · Nov 15
latest
Mark EddivaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Mar 14
L
vs Levan Makashvili · May 15
L
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Mar 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kevin SouzaMetricMark Eddiva
—
Strikes / min
3.37
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.45
—
Takedown defense
63%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1516Strikes52.0 vs 49.0Takedowns0.0 vs 4.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Kevin SouzaMark Eddiva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Kevin Souza(4 fights)Mark Eddiva(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +133.9|Blue -133.9
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +178.0|Blue -178.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Kevin Souza

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3

Mark Eddiva

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4