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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Kevin Jousset won · SUB R1

Elo1491

Elo1467

Kevin JoussetvsKiefer CrosbieUFC Prediction Result

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Saturday, September 9, 2023Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Kevin Jousset won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:49

Style matchupKevin Jousset: Pressure fightervsKiefer Crosbie: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Kevin Jousset wins(75.5%)

Actual result: Kevin Jousset wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kevin Jousset threatens submissions; Kiefer Crosbie has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Kevin Jousset has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kiefer Crosbie (52.9%).
Kevin Jousset has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kevin Jousset

Red Corner

Kiefer Crosbie

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1491

Elo

1467

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'2"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kevin JoussetL2 streak

oldest →

vs Song Kenan · Dec 23

KOvs Bryan Battle · Sep 24

vs Jonathan Micallef · Feb 25

latest

Kiefer CrosbieL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sam Patterson · Jul 24

KOvs Taiyilake Nueraji · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kevin JoussetMetricKiefer Crosbie

6.61

Strikes / min

4.46

6.49

Strikes absorbed / min

5.80

50%

Strike defense

46%

0.69

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

40%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.12Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-1.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kevin JoussetKiefer Crosbie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kevin Jousset(4 fights)Kiefer Crosbie(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +23.8|Blue -23.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kevin JoussetTargetKiefer Crosbie

By target zone

41% acc · 62%

Head

54% acc · 51%

80% acc · 14%

Body

75% acc · 23%

78% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 26%

By position

46% acc · 86%

Distance

69% acc · 92%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

43% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kevin Jousset rounds

even

Kiefer Crosbie rounds

Round 1Kiefer Crosbie edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:45

39Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 58

Sig Strikes

39 / 59

50%

Sig Str %

66%

39 / 69

Total Strikes

45 / 66

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:45

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kiefer Crosbie	39 / 59	45 / 66	0 / 0	0
1	Kevin Jousset	29 / 58	39 / 69	1 / 1	1

Kevin Jousset

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Kiefer Crosbie

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3