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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Bryan Battle won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1523

Kevin JoussetvsBryan BattleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Saturday, September 28, 2024Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Bryan Battle won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:47

Style matchupKevin Jousset: Pressure fightervsBryan Battle: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Kevin Jousset wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Bryan Battle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kevin Jousset at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bryan Battle enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kevin Jousset has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kevin Jousset

Red Corner

Bryan Battle

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-192

(66%)

1491

Elo

1523

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kevin Jousset

oldest →

SUBvs Kiefer Crosbie · Sep 23

vs Song Kenan · Dec 23

vs Jonathan Micallef · Feb 25

latest

Bryan BattleW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Takashi Sato · Aug 22

vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22

KOvs Gabe Green · May 23

SUBvs AJ Fletcher · Sep 23

vs Randy Brown · Dec 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kevin JoussetMetricBryan Battle

6.61

Strikes / min

5.12

6.49

Strikes absorbed / min

4.11

50%

Strike defense

44%

0.69

TDs / 15 min

0.77

100%

Takedown defense

53%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.12evenly matched on net striking+1.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kevin JoussetBryan Battle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kevin Jousset(4 fights)Bryan Battle(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.8|Blue +31.8

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kevin JoussetTargetBryan Battle

By target zone

47% acc · 53%

Head

54% acc · 81%

83% acc · 17%

Body

74% acc · 18%

89% acc · 29%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

55% acc · 79%

Distance

55% acc · 82%

92% acc · 21%

Clinch

68% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kevin Jousset rounds

even

Bryan Battle rounds

Round 1Bryan Battle edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:12

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:54Control

Round 2Bryan Battle edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

71Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

58 / 97

Sig Strikes

97 / 170

61%

Sig Str %

53.5%

63 / 107

Total Strikes

118 / 194

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

3:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bryan Battle	26 / 57	36 / 69	0 / 3
1	Kevin Jousset	29 / 40	32 / 47	0 / 2
2	Bryan Battle	71 / 113	82 / 125	0 / 0
2	Kevin Jousset	29 / 57	31 / 60	0 / 0

Kevin Jousset

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Bryan Battle

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights8