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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Kevin Holland won · Decision R3

Elo1510

Elo1498

Kevin HollandvsRandy BrownUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Kevin Holland won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsRandy Brown: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Randy Brown has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kevin Holland

Red Corner

Randy Brown

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1510

Elo

1498

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

205.74 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kevin HollandL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25

vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25

SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25

vs Mike Malott · Oct 25

latest

Randy Brown

oldest →

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24

vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kevin HollandMetricRandy Brown

4.24

Strikes / min

4.39

3.21

Strikes absorbed / min

3.35

50%

Strike defense

53%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

0.71

57%

Takedown defense

74%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.04

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kevin Holland(10 fights)Randy Brown(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.3|Blue -12.3

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Kevin Holland

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights27

Randy Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21