Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacobe Smith enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jacobe Smith has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Kevin Holland has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin Holland
oldest →W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26 Jacobe SmithW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Preston Parsons · Jan 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Jun 25W
KOvs Josiah Harrell · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricJacobe Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03Δ 3.08 — meaningful gap+4.11
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Jacobe Smith(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -35.8|Blue +35.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Method Projection
Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.
Historical win share: Jacobe Smith earned 67% of wins by KO/TKO.
Historical win share: Kevin Holland earned 38% of wins by submission.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.
