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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1510
Kevin Holland
Elo1530
Anthony Hernandez editorial illustration

Kevin HollandvsAnthony HernandezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · Saturday, May 16, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Kevin Holland won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:39

Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsAnthony Hernandez: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kevin Holland at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kevin Holland has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Hernandez
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
1510
Elo
1530
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
205.74 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kevin Holland
oldest →
W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25
W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25
L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25
W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26
latest
Anthony Hernandez
oldest →
W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24
W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24
W
vs Brendan Allen · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kevin HollandMetricAnthony Hernandez
4.24
Strikes / min
4.57
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
50%
Strike defense
51%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
5.88
57%
Takedown defense
68%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1500Strikes4.3 vs 5.0Takedowns1.3 vs 5.3Sub Atts1.10 vs 0.90Form0.1 vs 0.3
Kevin HollandAnthony Hernandez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -20.2|Blue +20.2
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -48.0|Blue +48.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Kevin Holland

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27

Anthony Hernandez

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12