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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ketlen Vieira won · U-DEC

Elo1515

Elo1494

Ketlen VieiravsSijara EubanksUFC Prediction Result

UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Saturday, September 26, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Ketlen Vieira won

U-DEC

Style matchupKetlen Vieira: Well-roundedvsSijara Eubanks: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Ketlen Vieira wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Ketlen Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ketlen Vieira at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ketlen Vieira has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ketlen Vieira

Red Corner

Sijara Eubanks

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1515

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ketlen Vieira

oldest →

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23

vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24

vs Macy Chiasson · May 25

vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25

DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26

latest

Sijara Eubanks

oldest →

vs Sarah Moras · May 20

vs Julia Avila · Sep 20

vs Pannie Kianzad · Dec 20

KOvs Elise Reed · Jul 21

KOvs Melissa Gatto · Dec 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ketlen VieiraMetricSijara Eubanks

2.76

Strikes / min

4.30

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

3.43

50%

Strike defense

57%

1.33

TDs / 15 min

1.90

90%

Takedown defense

66%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.99Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ketlen VieiraSijara Eubanks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)Sijara Eubanks(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +20.3|Blue -20.3

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ketlen VieiraTargetSijara Eubanks

By target zone

39% acc · 96%

Head

33% acc · 49%

50% acc · 4%

Body

65% acc · 32%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

39% acc · 97%

Distance

45% acc · 94%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

67% acc · 3%

Ground

67% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ketlen Vieira rounds

even

Sijara Eubanks rounds

Round 1Ketlen Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:36

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 2Ketlen Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control1:51

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sijara Eubanks edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 171

Sig Strikes

69 / 149

39.3%

Sig Str %

45%

93 / 203

Total Strikes

72 / 152

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

44.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:27

Ctrl Time

0:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sijara Eubanks	26 / 59	27 / 60	0 / 0
1	Ketlen Vieira	29 / 70	36 / 80	1 / 3
2	Sijara Eubanks	13 / 36	14 / 37	0 / 0
2	Ketlen Vieira	17 / 41	35 / 63	1 / 1
3	Sijara Eubanks	30 / 54	31 / 55	0 / 1
3	Ketlen Vieira	22 / 60	22 / 60	0 / 1

Ketlen Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Sijara Eubanks

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights10