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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ketlen Vieira won · U-DEC R3

Elo1515

Elo1491

Ketlen VieiravsPannie KianzadUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Saturday, July 22, 2023London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Ketlen Vieira won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKetlen Vieira: Well-roundedvsPannie Kianzad: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ketlen Vieira wins(51.3%)

Actual result: Ketlen Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ketlen Vieira at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ketlen Vieira has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ketlen Vieira

Red Corner

Pannie Kianzad

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1515

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ketlen Vieira

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 23

vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24

vs Macy Chiasson · May 25

vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25

DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26

latest

Pannie KianzadL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alexis Davis · Jun 21

vs Raquel Pennington · Sep 21

vs Lina Lansberg · Apr 22

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 24

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ketlen VieiraMetricPannie Kianzad

2.76

Strikes / min

4.88

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

50%

Strike defense

51%

1.33

TDs / 15 min

0.41

90%

Takedown defense

65%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.99Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ketlen VieiraPannie Kianzad

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)Pannie Kianzad(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.0|Blue -24.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -273.0|Blue +273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ketlen VieiraTargetPannie Kianzad

By target zone

42% acc · 87%

Head

38% acc · 77%

100% acc · 7%

Body

75% acc · 14%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

32% acc · 53%

Distance

33% acc · 45%

50% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 40%

Ground

57% acc · 55%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ketlen Vieira rounds

even

Pannie Kianzad rounds

Round 1Ketlen Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control3:53

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Ketlen Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control4:18

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Pannie Kianzad edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control2:38

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 33

Sig Strikes

22 / 51

48.7%

Sig Str %

40.7%

65 / 103

Total Strikes

92 / 144

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:49

Ctrl Time

2:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Pannie Kianzad	4 / 16	7 / 19	0 / 0	0
1	Ketlen Vieira	5 / 15	23 / 40	1 / 1	0
2	Pannie Kianzad	4 / 9	15 / 21	0 / 0	0
2	Ketlen Vieira	7 / 13	25 / 34	1 / 1	2
3	Pannie Kianzad	14 / 26	70 / 104	0 / 0	0
3	Ketlen Vieira	3 / 5	17 / 29	1 / 1	1

Ketlen Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Pannie Kianzad

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11