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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Norma Dumont won · S-DEC R3

Elo1515

Elo1516

Ketlen VieiravsNorma DumontUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Saturday, November 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Norma Dumont won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKetlen Vieira: Well-roundedvsNorma Dumont: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Norma Dumont wins(70.2%)

Actual result: Norma Dumont wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norma Dumont at -174 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norma Dumont has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ketlen Vieira has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ketlen Vieira

Red Corner

Norma Dumont

Blue Corner

+146

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-174

(64%)

1515

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ketlen VieiraW2 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 23

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23

vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24

vs Macy Chiasson · May 25

DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26

latest

Norma Dumont

oldest →

vs Karol Rosa · Apr 23

vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23

vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24

vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24

DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ketlen VieiraMetricNorma Dumont

2.76

Strikes / min

3.85

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

50%

Strike defense

64%

1.33

TDs / 15 min

1.43

90%

Takedown defense

71%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.99Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap+1.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ketlen VieiraNorma Dumont

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)Norma Dumont(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -259.0|Blue +259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ketlen VieiraTargetNorma Dumont

By target zone

17% acc · 40%

Head

40% acc · 39%

50% acc · 20%

Body

86% acc · 29%

77% acc · 40%

Leg

100% acc · 32%

By position

32% acc · 100%

Distance

59% acc · 92%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ketlen Vieira rounds

even

Norma Dumont rounds

Round 1Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control1:36

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control1:53

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:50

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 83

Sig Strikes

62 / 101

29.7%

Sig Str %

62%

58 / 121

Total Strikes

87 / 127

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:19

Ctrl Time

0:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Norma Dumont	17 / 23	25 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Ketlen Vieira	7 / 23	7 / 23	1 / 2	1
2	Norma Dumont	17 / 37	20 / 40	0 / 0	0
2	Ketlen Vieira	8 / 29	32 / 57	1 / 2	0
3	Norma Dumont	28 / 41	42 / 56	0 / 0	0
3	Ketlen Vieira	10 / 31	19 / 41	0 / 0	0

Ketlen Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12